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⚽ Football Track Record · Last 30 days

45.4%

Result accuracy across 766 settled predictions. That means we picked the winning side (or correct draw) in roughly 45 out of every 100 matches.

How this number is calculated: it is the result-market hit rate across every settled prediction in the selected period, computed live from our prediction database on each page load. Losses are included, nothing is curated or removed, and every settled prediction is listed on this page — tap any league card below to see each match, our prediction, and the actual result.

That's 12.4 percentage points better than guessing randomly

💡 Is 45.4% actually good?

Short answer: yes — and the fact we publish it at all, win or lose, is the point.

If you just guessed at random between home win, draw, or away win, you'd land roughly 33% of the time. We land 45% — comfortably ahead of chance, across every match we cover, with nothing cherry-picked or quietly dropped. Each pick is a reasoned, per-match call, not one safe guess repeated.

And the number is real: it updates live from the prediction database on every page load, losses included. Most prediction sites either hide their accuracy or quote figures no honest model could hit — we show ours and stand behind it.

📈 Recent Daily Form last 14 days · live data, not curated

Fri 11 Sep 2 picks
50%
Thu 10 Sep 16 picks
43.8%
Wed 9 Sep 18 picks
66.7%
Tue 8 Sep 18 picks
55.6%
Mon 7 Sep 13 picks
23.1%
Sun 6 Sep 56 picks
39.3%
Sat 5 Sep 65 picks
43.1%
Fri 4 Sep 19 picks
63.2%
Thu 3 Sep 6 picks
83.3%
Wed 2 Sep 11 picks
54.5%
Tue 1 Sep 11 picks
54.5%
Mon 31 Aug 11 picks
72.7%
Sun 30 Aug 63 picks
46%
Sat 29 Aug 66 picks
47%

🏆 Where We're Strongest top leagues · 20+ predictions · tap a card for the matches

Serie A
73.3% 30 predictions
UEFA Champions League
59.4% 32 predictions
Eredivisie
58.8% 34 predictions
Primeira Liga
57.1% 35 predictions
Jupiler Pro League
57.1% 28 predictions

📉 Where We Struggle Most honest disclosure · 20+ predictions · tap a card for the matches

Süper Lig
32.0% 25 predictions
Argentine Primera
35.0% 60 predictions
Championship
36.2% 69 predictions
Ligue 1
37.0% 27 predictions
UEFA Conference League
38.4% 73 predictions

Football competitions vary in predictability. Lower-tier leagues, knockout cups, and competitions with high squad rotation are genuinely harder to model. We show this honestly because hiding it wouldn't make it less true.

🎯 Does Our Confidence Mean Anything? do high-confidence picks land more often?

Every prediction gets a confidence label: High, Medium, or Low. The chart below shows the result hit rate for each. If High beats Medium beats Low, our confidence is properly calibrated — meaning we know when we know.

High
59.7% 119 picks
Medium
43.4% 557 picks
Low
38.9% 90 picks

📊 Our Four Scoring Markets

We score every prediction across four markets. Some are easier than others — exact scoreline is genuinely hard, BTTS and Over/Under are coin-flip baselines.

Result
45.4%
Picked the winning side (or correct draw). Random is 33%.
Exact Score
8.5%
Predicted scoreline matched exactly. Random is ~3%.
Both Teams Score
54.7%
Correctly called whether both teams would score. Random is ~50%.
Over 2.5 Goals
54.3%
Correctly called whether total goals would top 2.5. Random is ~50%.

A note on honesty. The numbers above are computed live from our prediction database every time you visit this page. We don't curate, hide bad runs, or quietly drop losing predictions. Every match prediction we've ever logged sits in the dataset, settled or not.

No prediction is a guarantee. Past performance doesn't predict future results — football is genuinely unpredictable, that's why it's fun to follow. Predictions are for information and entertainment only. If you bet, never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. BeGambleAware.org.