Aalesund vs Viking
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund Win Value | 9/2 5.40 | 17% | 26% | +9% |
| Draw | 7/2 4.55 | 21% | 15% | -6% |
| Viking Win | 1/2 1.50 | 62% | 59% | -3% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 Aalesund in relegation danger (P14/16)
- 🏆 Viking in title race (P1)
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Aalesund (9d) vs Viking (3d) — Aalesund significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Viking on a 8W/10 run, Aalesund inconsistent (30% win rate) but fresher with 9 days rest vs Viking's 3 days
H2H: Viking dominant in last 8 (5 wins), avg 3.4 goals — high-scoring fixture historically
Stakes: Aalesund in relegation battle (P14) = desperate home effort; Viking in title race (P1) = professional performance expected
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-3.
⚔️ Head to Head
Viking have won 5 of last 8 meetings with clear away dominance, including a 0-4 in Aalesund and a 0-1 last summer. The one recent Aalesund win (2-1 in March 2026) shows the hosts can threaten. Fixture historically averages 3.4 goals per game.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.