Angola vs Mauritania

Fri 5 Jun 2026

Final Score

1 – 1

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✗ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 0

Home Win Medium

Angola

27%

Draw

45%

Mauritania

28%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Angola Win	11/8 2.35	39%	27%	-12%
Draw Value	2/1 3.10	30%	45%	+15%
Mauritania Win	2/1 3.04	31%	28%	-3%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Angola solid at home (DDWLWWWD), Mauritania poor away (LDDDLL) and lowest scoring team in this matchup
H2H: 2 Angola wins, 2 draws, 1 Mauritania win in last 5; avg 2.2 goals/game but recent meetings have been tight
Stakes: Friendly fixture, both teams mid-table with no pressure — Angola home pride provides the marginal motivation edge
Betting: Bookmakers favour Angola (42% home win) and low xG for both sides (0.79 vs 0.81) supports a cautious under 2.5 game

⚔️ Head to Head

H2H is closely balanced but Angola have won 2 of the last 5 and were the better side in the most recent meeting (3-2 in Jan 2024). Away from home Mauritania have historically struggled to impose themselves.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
Mauritania's away scoring average of 0.31 goals is extremely low, and their last six away results saw them score only once. Angola's home defensive record is strong, but more critically Mauritania rarely threaten on the road, making it likely Angola keep a clean sheet in a controlled friendly environment.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
With Angola's xG at 0.79 and Mauritania's at 0.81, and Mauritania's chronic inability to score away from home, the match is expected to produce very few chances. A 1-0 scoreline points well under the 2.5 threshold, consistent with the low-energy friendly context and both teams' defensive solidity.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org