Belarus vs Burkina Faso
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 6 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus Win | 9/4 3.38 | 28% | 20% | -8% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.25 | 29% | 19% | -10% |
| Burkina Faso Win Value | 11/10 2.14 | 43% | 61% | +18% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Belarus LWWW overall but limited home data; Burkina Faso LWLWWWWLW with strong away resilience. H2H: Limited data available. Stakes: International friendly — low stakes but both sides using this as World Cup 2026 qualifying preparation, giving slight motivation edge. Betting: BTTS supported by Belarus avg 1.82 goals scored and Burkina Faso conceding 1.11 per game; Over 2.5 supported by Burkina Faso's high xG and both teams' attacking output.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no meaningful recent H2H history to draw from between these two nations.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Belarus average 1.82 goals scored per game and have netted in recent fixtures including a 4-1 and 5-0, suggesting they carry a genuine attacking threat even against quality opposition. Burkina Faso concede 1.11 per game on average, making it realistic for Belarus to find the net. Conversely, Burkina Faso's xG of 2.82 and consistent scoring form make them highly likely to score as well, supporting BTTS.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
With a combined xG of 4.24 (Belarus 1.42 + Burkina Faso 2.82), the model strongly points toward a high-scoring game. Burkina Faso's attacking output and Belarus's tendency to both score and concede across recent matches make a total of 3+ goals very plausible, supporting the over 2.5 goals outcome.