Belarus vs Syria
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 6 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus Win Value | 4/5 1.78 | 52% | 78% | +26% |
| Draw | 5/2 3.45 | 27% | 16% | -11% |
| Syria Win | 7/2 4.50 | 21% | 6% | -15% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 6 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Belarus (52% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Belarus LWWW with 3 consecutive wins and heavy scoring; Syria LDDWWDL with poor away record LWL and low attacking output
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: Friendly match with no competitive stakes — both teams use this as preparation, reducing extreme motivation but Belarus home pride and form momentum remains
Betting: BTTS likely given Belarus's leaky recent record and Syria showing resilience to score; Over 2.5 supported by Belarus's xG of 3.82 and high recent scoring averages
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 3-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Belarus's xG of 3.82 and recent scoring spree (4-1, 5-0) strongly support a high-scoring home performance. Even accounting for Syria's defensive discipline, the combined expected goals total well exceeds 2.5, making the over a logical outcome in this fixture.