📊 Recent Form
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
🧭 How the Model Sees It
The engine puts Bodo/Glimt at 51%, ahead but not commandingly. With the draw at 20% this is a fixture the model expects to stay tight.
We have Bodo/Glimt at 51% where the consensus of 10 bookmakers has 55% — a gap against us of 4 points. Disagreements like this are where a model earns or loses its reputation, so it is stated plainly rather than sold as an edge.
The projection totals 3 goals. That clears the 2.5 line, and it is roughly what an average football match produces — the model is not expecting anything unusual in either direction.
Confidence is filed as low at 35/99. That tier is set from the shape of the probability distribution, not from how the fixture feels, and it is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards — right or wrong, it stays on the page.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 10 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt Win | 8/11 1.71 | 55% | 51% | -4% |
| Draw | 10/3 4.25 | 22% | 20% | -2% |
| Viking Win Value | 3/1 3.97 | 23% | 29% | +6% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 Bodo/Glimt in title race (P2)
- 🏆 Viking in title race (P1)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Bodo/Glimt xG 1.83 | Viking xG 1.36
Projected: 53% / 17% / 30%
H2H: 4W-1D-3L
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
4W-1D-3L for Bodo/Glimt in H2H
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.