Bolivia vs Algeria
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia Win Value | 8/1 9.50 | 10% | 44% | +34% |
| Draw Value | 4/1 5.10 | 18% | 24% | +6% |
| Algeria Win | 2/7 1.29 | 72% | 32% | -40% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 11 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Algeria (72% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Bolivia LLLLW (avg 0.08 scored, 1.28 conceded); Algeria LWWWWDWWDW (avg 1.69 scored, 0.71 conceded, 3 away wins)
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: Friendly match — Algeria motivated to tune up for 2026 World Cup preparations; Bolivia have little competitive motivation
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 0-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 0-2 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 0-2 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.