Twente swept past Cambuur with a commanding display, running out 4-1 winners in a match that got away from the home side early and never came back. Nijstad broke the deadlock in the 22nd minute, assisted by van Rooij, and Weghorst doubled the lead just four minutes later with help from Drommel. After the interval, Pjaca made it three courtesy of Orjasaeter's assist, and although Twente eased off the throttle in the closing stages, Taha added a fourth in the 82nd minute before Hamache grabbed a late consolation for Cambuur in the 88th.

Our model had pegged this as a 1-3 scoreline with Twente favoured at 55% to win, making the actual result broadly consistent with that thinking. The away side's superior quality and Cambuur's poor recent form suggested a Twente victory was the likeliest outcome, and that's exactly how it played out—though we underestimated Twente's control. They were sharper and more clinical than the prediction allowed for, turning what looked like a close contest on paper into a fairly routine away win. The margin was wider than expected, but the direction of the call held up.

Cambuur's defensive fragility—evident in their recent results—was ruthlessly exposed by a Twente side that, despite sitting mid-table without much to play for, showed enough quality and focus to dismantle a struggling opponent. It's a reminder that in lopsided matchups, even modest motivation from the stronger team often proves enough.