DC United vs Nashville SC
📖 The Preview
Nashville look the stronger side here and that 1-3 away win makes plenty of sense. DC have been inconsistent lately, mixing wins with draws and dropping points they shouldn't, while Nashville have rattled off four straight wins in their recent run. The head-to-head also heavily favours Nashville, who have four wins and two draws from this fixture. DC will nick one, which fits the both teams to score prediction, but Nashville have enough quality to put three past a home side that's been anything but convincing.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United Win | 15/8 2.91 | 32% | 31% | -1% |
| Draw | 5/2 3.40 | 28% | 22% | -6% |
| Nashville SC Win Value | 5/4 2.32 | 40% | 47% | +7% |
🔍 Key Stats
Form: DC United inconsistent at home (WDDLW), avg 2.43 scored but 2.18 conceded; Nashville in strong overall form (WWWWW run recently), tight defensively (0.8 conceded avg)
H2H: Nashville dominate with 4 wins in last 8, avg 3.6 goals/game — high-scoring fixture historically, recent 5-2 and 4-1 Nashville wins stand out
Stakes: Mid-table MLS fixture, no direct relegation/promotion battle but Nashville pushing for playoff seeding adds motivation
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-3.
⚔️ Head to Head
Nashville SC have won 4 of the last 8 meetings with 2 draws and just 2 DC United wins. Recent fixtures are high-scoring — a 5-2 Nashville win in Jul 2025 and 4-1 in Feb 2025 highlight Nashville's dominance. The avg of 3.6 goals/game in this fixture strongly supports a multi-goal outcome.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.