Dunajska Streda pulled off a stunning second-leg comeback to draw 3-3 with Twente, though it wasn't enough to overturn the aggregate deficit after the opening 6-0 hammering from the first match. Twente came out firing and took the lead through Bruns in the 7th minute, with Weidmann providing the assist. They doubled their advantage in the 51st minute when Pjaca struck, set up by Kurowski, and looked to be cruising. But Dunajska Streda had other ideas. Gueye pulled one back in the 56th minute off Trontelj's assist, then Nemanic levelled things in the 66th, courtesy of a Jukleroed setup. Owusu completed the turnaround in the 88th when Gagua found him, and the hosts went hunting for a winner—only for Pjaca to snatch a dramatic equaliser in the 90+3rd minute to seal a chaotic 3-3 draw.

Our model predicted a 1-0 scoreline with only a 27% lean towards a draw, so we got this one badly wrong. The match unfolded as a proper end-to-end affair rather than the cagey, low-scoring contest we'd flagged. We'd built the forecast around Twente's comfort in the aggregate tie and Dunajska Streda's need for an unlikely win by six-plus goals—factors that suggested a tight, controlled game. Instead, both sides came out to play and the result was a goal fest that felt miles away from the probabilities we'd set.

The scoreline doesn't change Twente's passage through to the next round, but it was a proper reminder that even when a tie looks settled on paper, second legs can throw up genuine surprises. Dunajska Streda went down swinging and got something to show for their efforts. It's just a shame for them the aggregate damage was already done.