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Friendlies

Ecuador vs Guatemala

Sun 7 Jun 2026
Final Score
3 – 0
Our prediction got the result right
Result
Exact score
BTTS
Over 2.5
CleverScores Prediction
3 – 0
Home Win Medium
Ecuador
90%
Draw
7%
Guatemala
3%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 10 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection Odds Market % Model % Edge
Ecuador Win Value 1/6 1.18 79% 90% +11%
Draw 11/2 6.35 14% 7% -7%
Guatemala Win 14/1 15.00 7% 3% -4%
1 value market identified in this fixture.
Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Ecuador inconsistent recently (WDDD) but dominant at home vs weaker sides; Guatemala leaky defensively (1.97 conceded/game)
H2H: Ecuador 2-0 in both meetings, no goals conceded across 2 games
Stakes: Friendly, but ELO gap of 435 reflects a clear professional vs developing-nation mismatch
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-0.

⚔️ Head to Head

Ecuador have won both H2H meetings 2-0, keeping clean sheets on each occasion — a strong signal that Guatemala struggle to score against this opposition.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 3-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-0 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.

CleverScore confidence: Medium
Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org