England vs Costa Rica

Wed 10 Jun 2026

Final Score

3 – 0

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✓ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

3 – 0

Home Win Medium

England

90%

Draw

Costa Rica

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
England Win Value	1/6 1.17	80%	90%	+10%
Draw	6/1 7.30	13%	7%	-6%
Costa Rica Win	14/1 16.00	7%	3%	-4%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: England averaging 1.56 goals scored at home but model-adjusted xG of 4.5 given ELO gap; Costa Rica away form inconsistent with only 1 away goal on average vs top sides
H2H: England won 2-0 in 2018, drew 0-0 in 2014 — historically tight but ELO gap has grown significantly since
Stakes: Pre-tournament friendly, England will want to build momentum and confidence with full squad available
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-0.

⚔️ Head to Head

Only 2 meetings — England win 2-0 in 2018 and a 0-0 draw in 2014. Historical pattern is low-scoring but the ELO gap has grown by several hundred points since those fixtures, making a dominant England performance far more likely now.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 3-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-0 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org