Eyüpspor pulled off a comeback win at home, securing a 2-1 victory over Alanyaspor in a match that swung dramatically on discipline and late heroics. Alanyaspor struck first through Usluoglu in the opening minute, but Eyüpspor levelled before halftime when Abdullahi finished from Jules's assist on 39 minutes. The turning point came in the 52nd minute when Eyüpspor's Pulat was sent off, leaving the home side down to ten men. Against the odds, they held firm and then snatched it in stoppage time—Jules grabbed the winner in the 90+4th minute to seal a crucial three points.

Our model had tipped a 2-1 scoreline in Alanyaspor's favour, assigning Eyüpspor just a 41% chance of winning outright. The actual result flipped the script entirely. Before kickoff, the prediction was shaped by Eyüpspor's low-scoring form and Alanyaspor's superior attacking record and league position, though the high-scoring history between these sides and Eyüpspor's desperation at the wrong end of the table suggested goals would come. The match didn't play out that way—Eyüpspor's grinding it out, absorbing a red card, and finding a winner late wasn't the route our model had imagined.

In the end, Eyüpspor's motivation and resilience overcame what looked like a difficult evening on paper. It's the kind of result that reminds you why football's played on the pitch, not in spreadsheets. Our call didn't land, plain and simple.