Eyüpspor secured an away victory at Fatih Karagümrük with a 2-1 result that saw the match swing dramatically across two halves. Serginho's 16th-minute opener for Karagümrük set an early tone, but the match unraveled for the hosts in quick succession. Kranevitter's own goal in the 39th minute drew level before Legowski's finish just before halftime flipped the scoreline entirely. A second-half red card for Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar left Eyüpspor to manage the closing stages with ten men, though they held firm to seal three points on the road.

Our model predicted a 1-0 Karagümrük victory with zero probability assigned to either a draw or an Eyüpspor win, which missed the mark entirely. The prediction failed to account for the defensive vulnerabilities that emerged in the opening half, particularly the own goal that shifted momentum at a critical juncture. While an early Karagümrük lead materialized, the model underestimated both Eyüpspor's attacking capacity and the hosts' susceptibility to conceding under sustained pressure.

The red card in the 78th minute added a disciplinary element to what had already become a competitive encounter, though by that stage Eyüpspor had already secured their advantage. For Karagümrük, the result represents a frustrating collapse from a position of early advantage, while Eyüpspor's ability to turn the match around despite a numerical disadvantage in the closing period demonstrates their resilience on the road.