Crystal Palace came from behind to edge Fulham 3-2 in a frantic encounter that saw both sides trade blows across an absorbing 90 minutes. Josh King gave Fulham the perfect start with an eleventh-minute opener, but Tyrick Mitchell levelled things up just after the half-hour with an assist from Eddie Nketiah. Fulham looked to have seized the initiative when Cesar Palacios Perez made it 2-1 before half-time, only for Mitchell to grab his second of the afternoon in the 54th minute and restore parity. The decisive moment came in the 77th when Ben Chilwell, set up by Daichi Kamada, put Crystal Palace ahead for the first time — a lead they'd hold to the whistle.

Our model predicted a tight 1-0 scoreline with a modest lean toward Fulham at 42%, compared to Crystal Palace's 33%. That call didn't come off, and it's worth saying plainly: we got the result direction wrong and the exact score wrong too. Pre-kickoff, the data pointed toward a low-scoring affair — both sides were dealing with relegation pressure and their away and home form suggested a cagey, defensive contest. The match had other ideas, unfolding as an open, goal-heavy affair instead. Where we expected caution and a solitary goal, we got five, a swinging momentum shift, and ultimately a Palace victory that sat outside our primary expectation.

Still, the fact that goals flew in at both ends tells its own story about two sides locked in a scrap. Fulham started bright and had genuine chances to win it; Palace showed their mettle in the comeback. In a direct six-pointer where both clubs needed the points, the match delivered drama rather than the safety-first football the pre-match picture suggested might play out.