Iran vs Grenada
📖 The Preview
Look, this one really isn't much of a contest. Iran at home against Grenada is about as lopsided as it gets, and that 86% win probability tells the whole story. Grenada will give it a go but they're simply outclassed here, and with Iran expected to keep a clean sheet, it's hard to see where the visitors score. Three goals without reply feels about right for the gap in quality between these two sides.
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Iran inconsistent overall but dominant at home vs weaker sides; Grenada strong at home but poor away (LDD)
H2H: Limited data between these sides
Stakes: Friendly ahead of World Cup 2026 — Iran have strong motivation to impress on home turf; Grenada have little riding on result
Betting: BTTS unlikely — Grenada's away defensive frailty and Iran's xG dominance suggest a shutout; Over 2.5 strongly supported by ELO gap and model xG of 5.25 combined
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no significant recent H2H history between Iran and Grenada to draw firm conclusions from
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
Grenada's away record (LDD) and their 0-5 concession against stronger opposition highlights their vulnerability. Iran's defensive solidity (0.56 goals conceded per game) combined with Grenada's limited attacking output on the road (avg 1.24 goals overall but poor away) makes it unlikely Grenada find the net. Iran are expected to control possession and prevent Grenada from creating meaningful chances.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The 272-point ELO gap is substantial, Iran's model xG is 4.5, and Grenada have conceded 5 goals in a single away fixture previously. With both sides fully rested and Iran at full strength at home, the conditions strongly favour a high-scoring game well over the 2.5 threshold. A 4-0 scoreline implies 4 total goals, comfortably clearing the over 2.5 line.