Iraq vs Venezuela

Wed 10 Jun 2026

Final Score

0 – 2

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 0

Home Win Medium

Iraq

30%

Draw

39%

Venezuela

31%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Iraq Win	9/4 3.24	29%	30%	+1%
Draw Value	2/1 3.08	30%	39%	+9%
Venezuela Win	5/4 2.26	41%	31%	-10%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Iraq in decent overall form (LLWWWW) with back-to-back home wins; Venezuela struggling badly away (LLL) and barely scoring.
H2H: Limited data available between these nations.
Stakes: Friendly match with no competitive pressure, but Iraq playing at home with national pride and Venezuela in poor recent form.
Betting: Venezuela's dismal 0.3 avg goals scored away makes BTTS unlikely; low xG totals (Iraq 0.79, Venezuela 0.75) and Venezuela's defensive shape point to under 2.5 goals.

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data — no significant H2H trend available to influence prediction.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
Venezuela have averaged just 0.3 goals scored in recent matches and have lost all three away fixtures, suggesting they are highly unlikely to find the net against a well-organized Iraq defense. Iraq's home defensive record (WW at home) further supports Venezuela being shut out.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
With combined xG of only 1.54, Venezuela scoring at a rate of 0.3 goals per game away from home, and both teams in a low-stakes friendly, the total goals are expected to stay well under 2.5. A tight 1-0 result fits the evidence comfortably.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org