Norway vs Sweden
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway Win | 5/6 1.86 | 50% | 28% | -22% |
| Draw Value | 5/2 3.60 | 26% | 39% | +13% |
| Sweden Win Value | 3/1 4.00 | 24% | 33% | +9% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Norway inconsistent (DW, avg 1.9 scored), Sweden on a strong run (WWWL, avg 4.78 scored). H2H: Last 5 meetings average 3.6 goals with Norway dominant historically but fixtures tight. Stakes: International friendly — low competitive stakes for both sides, though Scandinavian rivalry adds emotional motivation. Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' recent scoring records and H2H trends. Over 2.5 lean supported by Sweden's prolific form and high H2H average.
⚔️ Head to Head
Last 5 meetings average 3.6 goals per game with Norway winning 2 and 3 draws — no Sweden wins but historical pattern of both teams scoring freely in this fixture.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams have shown a consistent ability to score in recent matches — Norway have netted in their last two outings and the H2H history shows both sides finding the net regularly across all five recent meetings. Norway's home platform and Sweden's attacking output make it highly likely both teams contribute to the scoreline.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
With a total of 3 goals (1-2), this tips over the 2.5 threshold — supported by Sweden's exceptional recent scoring form averaging 4.78 goals and the H2H average of 3.6 goals per meeting, both of which point toward a game where goals flow from both ends.