Notts County vs Salford City
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County Win Value | 13/8 2.63 | 35% | 50% | +15% |
| Draw | 2/1 3.13 | 30% | 26% | -4% |
| Salford City Win | 7/4 2.69 | 35% | 24% | -11% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 😴 Notts County mid-table (P5) — low motivation
- ⬆️ Salford City in promotion hunt (P4)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Notts County patchy home form (DDLW), averaging under 1 goal scored; Salford City strong overall (DWDWWDLWWL) with 1.4 avg goals scored
H2H: Salford City dominant — 6 wins in last 7, all recent away fixtures won by Salford, avg 2.9 goals/game
Stakes: Notts County mid-table dead rubber vs Salford City in active promotion hunt — significant motivation gap favours visitors
Betting: BTTS supported by H2H history of goals in both halves and both teams having full squads; Over 2.5 backed by 2.9 avg H2H goals and Salford's attacking output
⚔️ Head to Head
Salford City have won 6 of the last 7 meetings including four straight wins in this fixture, consistently scoring across all recent games — a clear away-dominant trend that strongly favours Salford regardless of venue.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams are expected to score: Notts County have found the net in recent home fixtures and carry enough quality to threaten, while Salford's attack (1.4 avg goals) has scored in nearly every recent outing. The H2H pattern shows both teams contributing goals across meetings, and full squads for both sides removes any defensive excuse.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
With an H2H average of 2.9 goals per game across the last 7 meetings, Salford's prolific away scoring record, and a promotion-motivated side pressing forward, the 1-2 scoreline brings total goals to 3 — comfortably over 2.5 and consistent with the historical scoring trend between these sides.