📊 Recent Form
OH Leuven
RAAL La Louvière
🧭 How the Model Sees It
The engine puts OH Leuven at 47%, ahead but not commandingly. With the draw at 26% this is a fixture the model expects to stay tight.
Across 9 bookmakers the consensus lands within 1 point of our own on this outcome. Where the model and the market agree, expect the market’s accuracy rather than ours — agreement is not evidence that we are right, only that we are not saying anything unusual.
The projection totals 1 goal. Below the 2.5 line and then some — a game the model expects to turn on a single moment rather than on volume.
Confidence is filed as medium at 50/99. That tier is set from the shape of the probability distribution, not from how the fixture feels, and it is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards — right or wrong, it stays on the page.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven Win | 1/1 2.00 | 46% | 47% | +1% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.30 | 28% | 26% | -2% |
| RAAL La Louvière Win | 5/2 3.60 | 26% | 27% | +1% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 OH Leuven in relegation danger (P17/18)
- 🆘 RAAL La Louvière in relegation danger (P14, only 2 pt cushion)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Both sides in dismal form — OHL 10% win rate, 0.64 avg goals scored; RAAL 10% win rate, 1.11 avg goals scored, both leaking heavily
H2H: Last 2 meetings: 0-0 and 1-2 RAAL win — neutral dominance, low-scoring trend
Stakes: Both clubs in relegation danger, expect high intensity but defensive caution and nerves to dominate
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Only 2 recent H2H meetings, both low-scoring — one draw (0-0) and one narrow RAAL away win (1-2). Neutral dominance with an average of just 1.5 goals per game, supporting a cautious, tight encounter.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.