Orlando City SC put on a dominant display at home to sweep past Toronto FC 3-0, a result that eclipsed our pre-match prediction and underlined just how potent they can be on their own turf. Griezmann opened the scoring before half-time, assisted by Taifi, then Harvey Graham Sarajian added a second in the 82nd minute with help from Dike. Late drama came courtesy of Iván Angulo, who sealed it in the 90+6th minute off an Ellis assist, leaving Toronto with nothing to show for their efforts.

Our model leaned toward Orlando as favorites at 48%, but plumped for a 2-1 scoreline that didn't quite materialize. The prediction caught the winner and the general direction right, but missed the margin and the shutout. Pre-kickoff, we'd flagged Orlando's home form and their high-scoring history against Toronto, which averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The pattern held broadly — this was an attacking display from the home side — though we'd underestimated just how thoroughly they'd dominate possession and finishing. Toronto couldn't break through despite their away form showing glimpses of resilience elsewhere in the season.

The match played out as a fairly straightforward win rather than the tighter contest the model had anticipated. Orlando's attacking intent was clear from the start and they made it count, while Toronto found little purchase in an Orlando backline that stayed resolute all evening. Not our sharpest call, but the fundamentals that shaped the prediction — home advantage, attacking quality, and that fixture's tendency toward goals — did show up on the pitch.