📊 Recent Form
RAAL La Louvière
Club Brugge KV
🧭 How the Model Sees It
The engine puts Club Brugge KV at 52%, ahead but not commandingly. With the draw at 24% this is a fixture the model expects to stay tight.
We have Club Brugge KV at 52% where the consensus of 10 bookmakers has 67% — a gap against us of 15 points. Disagreements like this are where a model earns or loses its reputation, so it is stated plainly rather than sold as an edge.
The projection totals 2 goals. That sits under the 2.5 line, though only just: one more goal from either side and that call is wrong.
Confidence is filed as medium at 55/99. That tier is set from the shape of the probability distribution, not from how the fixture feels, and it is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards — right or wrong, it stays on the page.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 10 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière Win Value | 6/1 6.85 | 14% | 24% | +10% |
| Draw Value | 4/1 4.80 | 19% | 24% | +5% |
| Club Brugge KV Win | 2/5 1.39 | 67% | 52% | -15% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 RAAL La Louvière in relegation danger (P14, only 1 pt cushion)
- 🎯 Club Brugge KV chasing top-2 (P3)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: RAAL La Louvière xG 0.89 | Club Brugge KV xG 2.32
Projected: 8% / 24% / 68%
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 0-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited H2H data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 0-2 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 0-2 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.