San Marino vs Bangladesh

Fri 5 Jun 2026

Final Score

1 – 2

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 1

Draw Medium

San Marino

33%

Draw

39%

Bangladesh

28%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
San Marino Win	5/4 2.25	41%	33%	-8%
Draw Value	2/1 3.04	30%	39%	+9%
Bangladesh Win	9/4 3.30	29%	28%	-1%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: San Marino LL (0-1, 1-3) but home factor applies; Bangladesh DDW with strong defensive record
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: Friendly match with no competitive stakes — slight lean toward home pride
Betting: Bookmakers favour home win at 44% implied; low total goals expected given both teams' conservative outputs

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 1-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
Both teams average well under 1.5 goals scored per game, and the statistical model projects xG of just 0.79 and 0.75 respectively. With a friendly context reducing urgency and both defences capable of limiting chances, the match is firmly expected to finish under 2.5 goals total.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org