📊 Recent Form
Singapore
Mongolia
🧭 How the Model Sees It
Nothing here clears 41%. Singapore edge it at 40% against 36% for the draw and 24% the other way — the inputs point in different directions and the engine is not claiming to know. That is published rather than dressed up.
We have Singapore at 40% where the consensus of 9 bookmakers has 76% — a gap against us of 36 points. Disagreements like this are where a model earns or loses its reputation, so it is stated plainly rather than sold as an edge.
The projection totals 2 goals. That sits under the 2.5 line, though only just: one more goal from either side and that call is wrong.
Confidence is filed as medium. That tier is set from the shape of the probability distribution, not from how the fixture feels, and it is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards — right or wrong, it stays on the page.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore Win | 2/9 1.22 | 76% | 40% | -36% |
| Draw Value | 5/1 5.80 | 16% | 36% | +20% |
| Mongolia Win Value | 9/1 10.50 | 8% | 24% | +16% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 9 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Singapore (76% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Mongolia (536d) vs Singapore (198d) — Mongolia significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Singapore LDLWL with avg 2.18 scored; Mongolia LL with 0 scored and 6.7 conceded
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: Friendly match but Singapore motivated by home crowd and superior competitive readiness
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.