📊 Recent Form
Sweden
Greece
🧭 How the Model Sees It
Nothing here clears 43%. a draw edge it at 42% against 42% for the draw and 30% the other way — the inputs point in different directions and the engine is not claiming to know. That is published rather than dressed up.
The projection totals 2 goals. That sits under the 2.5 line, though only just: one more goal from either side and that call is wrong.
Confidence is filed as high. That tier is set from the shape of the probability distribution, not from how the fixture feels, and it is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards — right or wrong, it stays on the page.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Sweden WWWL at home WW, averaging solid goals scored; Greece WW with 4+ goals in both recent matches
H2H: Sweden win 2 of last 3, averaging 2.3 goals/game, home team dominant pattern
Stakes: International friendly — both sides using this as World Cup 2026 qualifier prep, moderate motivation
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Sweden have won 2 of the last 3 meetings, with the home side winning in each of the two most recent encounters. Low-to-mid scoring trend (avg 2.3 goals) but both teams have scored in recent clashes.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.