Venezuela vs Türkiye
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela Win Value | 4/1 5.10 | 18% | 28% | +10% |
| Draw Value | 11/4 3.82 | 25% | 38% | +13% |
| Türkiye Win | 8/13 1.63 | 57% | 34% | -23% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Venezuela struggling badly with 0.3 goals avg scored; Türkiye more balanced at 0.72 scored. H2H: Limited data. Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation on both sides, but Türkiye likely using this as a warm-up with quality to spare. Betting: BTTS unlikely given Venezuela's inability to score (0.3 avg); Under 2.5 supported by both defences being solid and the friendly context limiting intensity.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
Venezuela's recent scoring record is extremely poor, averaging just 0.3 goals per game, and they have failed to score in three of their last four matches. With Türkiye's defence also solid (0.76 avg conceded), Venezuela are unlikely to find the net, making BTTS an unlikely outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Both sides are defensively disciplined and this is a low-stakes international friendly. Venezuela's attack is severely limited (0.3 goals avg), and Türkiye are not expected to run up the score. A single away goal is the most probable outcome, keeping this firmly under 2.5 goals.