They are scoring 2.43 goals a game, which ranks 3rd of 20 in the Premier League against a divisional average of 1.45.
At the other end they concede 1.86 a game — 14th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.44.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 2.33 points per game at home against 1.50 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 13 points from 7 matches, 4th in the table and a 65th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Chelsea grade out elite for attack and below par for defence. That shape — a side whose attack carries them and whose defence is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: high-scoring games with live over markets.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Manchester City |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
 Arsenal |
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |
 Brighton |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 |
 Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 |
 Brentford |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 7 |
 Leeds |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 8 |
 Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 9 |
 Ipswich |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 10 |
 Hull City |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 11 |
 Newcastle |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD |
| 12 |
 Aston Villa |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | WDWLD |
| 13 |
Manchester United |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD |
| 14 |
 Crystal Palace |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 15 |
 Bournemouth |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 |
 Tottenham |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD |
| 17 |
 Nottingham Forest |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 18 |
 Coventry |
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 19 |
 Fulham |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 20 |
 Sunderland |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Chelsea yet: 21 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Chelsea are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Premier League fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 4th in the Premier League on 13 points from 7 matches, with 17 scored and 13 conceded for a goal difference of +4.
The engine grades them B overall — a 65th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 21 graded predictions on Chelsea so far, 9 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Chelsea appear in Premier League, FA Cup and UEFA Champions League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Premier League, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.