Arsenal made short work of Everton with a clinical 2-0 win that matched our pre-match prediction exactly. Ezri Konsa opened the scoring early on at the seventh minute with an assist from Viktor Gyökeres, then Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães added the second in the 68th minute, set up by Ben White. Two goals, clean sheet, game over.

Our model had pegged this as the most likely outcome at 63% for an Arsenal win, with the exact 2-0 scoreline front and centre in the prediction. Before kickoff, the data pointed toward Arsenal's superior form and home record outweighing Everton's rest advantage—and that's broadly how it played out. The underlying picture favoured a low-scoring Arsenal victory: Everton's defensive solidity was real, but their limited attacking output meant they were always up against it. The H2H record told a story too, with Everton struggling to find the net at the Emirates in recent meetings.

What mattered most was Arsenal's motivation in a title race and their ability to convert chances at home. Everton, sat mid-table with little to chase, couldn't generate enough attacking threat to trouble the hosts. It's a straightforward win that ticks the box for our model and keeps Arsenal's push for honours on track. Sometimes football's that simple.