They are scoring 1.57 goals a game, which ranks 5th of 20 in the Premier League against a divisional average of 1.45.
At the other end they concede 0.71 a game — the meanest defence in the division, where the average side ships 1.44.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 3.00 points per game at home against 2.25 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 18 points from 7 matches, 2nd in the table and an 87th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Arsenal grade out elite for defence and strong for attack. That shape — a side whose defence carries them and whose attack is the department with the least margin over the rest of the division — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Manchester City |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |
 Brighton |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 |
 Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 |
Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 |
 Brentford |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 7 |
 Leeds |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 8 |
 Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 9 |
 Ipswich |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 10 |
 Hull City |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 11 |
 Newcastle |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD |
| 12 |
 Aston Villa |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | WDWLD |
| 13 |
 Manchester United |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD |
| 14 |
 Crystal Palace |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 15 |
 Bournemouth |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 |
 Tottenham |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD |
| 17 |
 Nottingham Forest |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 18 |
 Coventry |
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 19 |
 Fulham |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 20 |
 Sunderland |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Arsenal yet: 26 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Arsenal are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Premier League fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 2nd in the Premier League on 18 points from 7 matches, with 11 scored and 5 conceded for a goal difference of +6.
The engine grades them A overall — an 87th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 26 graded predictions on Arsenal so far, 16 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Arsenal appear across 4 competitions in our data, including Premier League, UEFA Champions League and FA Cup, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Premier League, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.
