📊 Recent Form
FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
🧭 How the Model Sees It
Nothing here clears 38%. Philadelphia Union edge it at 37% against 27% for the draw and 36% the other way — the inputs point in different directions and the engine is not claiming to know. That is published rather than dressed up.
The projection totals 3 goals. That clears the 2.5 line, and it is roughly what an average football match produces — the model is not expecting anything unusual in either direction.
Confidence is filed as low at 35/99. That tier is set from the shape of the probability distribution, not from how the fixture feels, and it is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards — right or wrong, it stays on the page.
🔍 Key Stats
Form: FC Cincinnati xG 1.62 | Philadelphia Union xG 1.9
Projected: 27% / 29% / 44%
H2H: 4W-0D-4L
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
4W-0D-4L for FC Cincinnati in H2H
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.
