They are scoring 2.25 goals a game, which ranks 6th of 18 in the Eredivisie against a divisional average of 1.98.
At the other end they concede 1.25 a game — 5th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.99.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 3.00 points per game away against 0.50 at home — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 7 points from 4 matches, 8th in the table and a 68th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Ajax grade out elite for away form and below par for home form. That shape — a side whose away form carries them and whose home form is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 16 | DWWWW |
| 2 |
 PSV Eindhoven |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 3 |
 Feyenoord |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 4 |
 Excelsior |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 5 |
 Twente |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 6 |
 Fortuna Sittard |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 7 |
 GO Ahead Eagles |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 8 | DLWDW |
| 8 |
Ajax
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 7 | LWDW |
| 9 |
 NEC Nijmegen |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 7 | DLWWL |
| 10 |
 Groningen |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | DLLWW |
| 11 |
 Sparta Rotterdam |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 12 |
 Heerenveen |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 13 |
 PEC Zwolle |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 14 |
 Telstar |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |
 Utrecht |
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 16 |
Willem II |
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 17 |
 ADO Den Haag |
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 18 |
 Cambuur |
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Ajax yet: 19 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Ajax are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Eredivisie fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 8th in the Eredivisie on 7 points from 4 matches, with 9 scored and 5 conceded for a goal difference of +4.
The engine grades them B overall — a 68th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 19 graded predictions on Ajax so far, 11 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Ajax appear in Eredivisie and UEFA Conference League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Eredivisie, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.
