📊 Recent Form
Racing Club
Aldosivi
🧭 How the Model Sees It
The engine puts Racing Club at 55%, ahead but not commandingly. With the draw at 26% this is a fixture the model expects to stay tight.
We have Racing Club at 55% where the consensus of 10 bookmakers has 58% — a gap against us of 3 points. Disagreements like this are where a model earns or loses its reputation, so it is stated plainly rather than sold as an edge.
The projection totals 1 goal. Below the 2.5 line and then some — a game the model expects to turn on a single moment rather than on volume.
Confidence is filed as medium at 55/99. That tier is set from the shape of the probability distribution, not from how the fixture feels, and it is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards — right or wrong, it stays on the page.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 10 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club Win | 3/5 1.59 | 58% | 55% | -3% |
| Draw | 11/4 3.77 | 25% | 26% | +1% |
| Aldosivi Win | 9/2 5.69 | 17% | 19% | +2% |
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Racing Club xG 1.6 | Aldosivi xG 0.62
Projected: 60% / 27% / 13%
H2H: 6W-2D-0L
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
6W-2D-0L for Racing Club in H2H
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.
