Viking came from behind to beat Fredrikstad 3-2 in a match that stayed wide open right until the final whistle. Egeskog gave Viking an early lead in the seventh minute with an assist from Christiansen, but Fredrikstad hit back hard. Fiabema levelled things up in the 27th minute, then Wesseh put the visitors ahead just before halftime with Gabriel Wesseh's finish off a Daniel Eid assist. It looked like an upset might be brewing, but Viking turned it around in the second half. Christiansen scored twice in quick succession—first in the 56th minute with help from Egeskog, then again a minute later from a Vetle Auklend cross—to seal a comeback win.

Our model called a 3-0 shutout, so while we got the result direction right, the actual scoreline didn't match. The prediction leaned Viking at 69% to win, which reflected their title-race position and home advantage, but it was always a lean rather than a certainty. Fredrikstad showed a lot more bite than the underlying form suggested they would, especially in that opening period where they genuinely looked capable of grinding out something from the game. The model had weighted a clean sheet as likely given Viking's recent defensive record at home, but Fredrikstad's front two made enough chances to trouble things.

In the end, Viking got the job done and stayed in the fight, but it took a proper second-half effort to undo what looked briefly like a real banana skin. That's football sometimes—the favourites don't always win the way you drew it up beforehand.