They are scoring 2.00 goals a game, which ranks 5th of 20 in the Serie A against a divisional average of 1.56.
At the other end they concede 1.22 a game — 6th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.56.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 2.25 points per game at home against 1.80 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 18 points from 9 matches, 5th in the table and a 76th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
AC Milan have an unusually even profile: consistency is their strongest axis at 80 and defence their lowest at 70, a spread narrow enough that the engine has no single department to lean on when it prices them. The result is a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter |
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 |
 Lazio |
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |
 AS Roma |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 |
 Como |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 |
 Napoli |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 14 | WDLWD |
| 7 |
 Frosinone |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 8 |
 Juventus |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 9 |
 Torino |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 10 |
 Cagliari |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 11 |
 Bologna |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 |
 Atalanta |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 |
 Genoa |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 | WWLWL |
| 14 |
 Lecce |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 15 |
 Sassuolo |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 |
 Monza |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |
 Udinese |
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 |
 Parma |
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 |
 Fiorentina |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 |
 Venezia |
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for AC Milan yet: 22 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
AC Milan are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Serie A fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 5th in the Serie A on 18 points from 9 matches, with 18 scored and 11 conceded for a goal difference of +7.
The engine grades them B+ overall — a 76th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 22 graded predictions on AC Milan so far, 11 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
AC Milan appear in Serie A and UEFA Europa League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Serie A, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.