They are scoring 1.35 goals a game, which ranks 10th of 20 in the Brasileirão against a divisional average of 1.32.
At the other end they concede 1.19 a game — 7th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.33.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 2.08 points per game at home against 1.00 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 39 points from 26 matches, 7th in the table and a 63rd percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Atletico-MG grade out strong for momentum and below par for away form. That shape — a side whose momentum carries them and whose away form is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Palmeiras |
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 56 | WDDWL |
| 2 |
 Flamengo |
26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | +30 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 3 |
 Atletico Paranaense |
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 46 | DLDWD |
| 4 |
 Fluminense |
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 45 | LWDWW |
| 5 |
 Bahia |
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 43 | WWWDD |
| 6 |
 Cruzeiro |
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 | LWLWW |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 31 | +4 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 8 |
 Coritiba |
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 | DLWWD |
| 9 |
 RB Bragantino |
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 | DLLWD |
| 10 |
 Santos |
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 | WWWDW |
| 11 |
 Sao Paulo |
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 12 |
 Vitoria |
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 | WLLWL |
| 13 |
 Corinthians |
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 32 | LLLLW |
| 14 |
 Botafogo |
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 | DDLLL |
| 15 |
 Gremio |
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 | LLWLL |
| 16 |
 Mirassol |
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 28 | WLDDL |
| 17 |
 Vasco DA Gama |
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 28 | WLWLL |
| 18 |
 Internacional |
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 | WLLDD |
| 19 |
 Remo |
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc |
26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 17 | LWLWD |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Atletico-MG yet: 14 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Atletico-MG are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Brasileirão fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 7th in the Brasileirão on 39 points from 26 matches, with 35 scored and 31 conceded for a goal difference of +4.
The engine grades them B overall — a 63rd percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 14 graded predictions on Atletico-MG so far, 7 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Brasileirão, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.