They are scoring 0.86 goals a game, which ranks 15th of 18 in the Bundesliga against a divisional average of 1.78.
At the other end they concede 2.29 a game — 15th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.78.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 2.00 points per game at home against 0.75 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 9 points from 7 matches, 11th in the table and a 26th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Hamburger SV grade out average for home form and weak for attack. That shape — a side whose home form carries them and whose attack is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Bayern München |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |
 Borussia Dortmund |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 17 | WDDWW |
| 3 |
 SC Freiburg |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | LLWDW |
| 4 |
 Bayer Leverkusen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |
 RB Leipzig |
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 |
 Werder Bremen |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | WDDWD |
| 7 |
 FSV Mainz 05 |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 |
 SV Elversberg |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | LWLDL |
| 9 |
 FC Augsburg |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 |
 1899 Hoffenheim |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 | WWLLW |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 |
 1. FC Köln |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 |
 SC Paderborn 07 |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 14 |
Eintracht Frankfurt |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 15 |
 VfB Stuttgart |
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 |
 FC Schalke 04 |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 |
 Union Berlin |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 18 |
 Borussia Mönchengladbach |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 3 | WLLLL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Hamburger SV yet: 16 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Hamburger SV are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Bundesliga fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 11th in the Bundesliga on 9 points from 7 matches, with 6 scored and 16 conceded for a goal difference of -10.
The engine grades them D overall — a 26th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 16 graded predictions on Hamburger SV so far, 8 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Bundesliga, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.