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NFL · Week 13 · 2026 Upcoming

Panthers at Vikings

Sun, 6 Dec 2026 · 21:25 UTC
Carolina Panthers logo
Carolina
Panthers
3-3 · L3
@
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota
Vikings
6-0 · W6
Minnesota Vikings to win 78% win probability · projected 16–26 · Strong

Win Probabilities

From the engine's power ratings, adjusted for home field and rest, then mapped through the margin distribution. Not a blend of the market — this is our own number.

CAR 22%
MIN 78%
Projected score
16–26
CAR at MIN
Projected margin
+9.9
home perspective
Projected total
42.5
combined points
Confidence
Strong
published before kickoff

Matchup Facts

Venue and rest come from the schedule feed and feed directly into the model; surface and weather are context we show but don't yet model.

Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof
Dome
Surface
Sportturf
Rest · CAR
6 days
Rest · MIN
7 days

Recent Form

Last five completed games this season, most recent first.

Carolina Panthers

L vs TB 13–43
W @ PHI 25–14
W vs DET 32–26
L @ CLE 18–21
W @ ATL 34–3

Minnesota Vikings

W vs IND 16–10
W @ NO 23–13
W vs MIA 15–10
W @ TB 23–16
W @ CHI 9–3

Season Scoring

Points per game either side of the ball, 2026 season to date.

CAR · scored
26.5
per game · 6 played
CAR · allowed
27.7
per game
MIN · scored
20.8
per game · 6 played
MIN · allowed
12.3
per game

How The Model Sees It

Our rating has Minnesota Vikings as the stronger side by 210 rating points, which on its own is worth about 8.4 points on the scoreboard (CAR 1,441, MIN 1,652).

Home field adds 1.4 points to MIN — a measured figure from our backtest, not the traditional three, because home advantage in the modern NFL is considerably smaller than it used to be. Rest shifts it a further +0.1 points (CAR 6 days, MIN 7).

That lands on a projected margin of +9.9, and running that through the historical spread of actual results against projections gives Minnesota Vikings at 78%.

No betting line has been posted for this game yet — books typically price about three weeks ahead. Until one appears, this page shows the engine's number with nothing to compare it against, which is exactly the situation the model is most useful in.

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