NFL 2026 · 8th Day Engine

Power Rankings

All 32 teams rated · updated after every game

Engine Power Ratings

One number per club, moving after every game. It rises with wins, rises faster with big wins over good opposition, and falls for the reverse. Home field and rest are handled separately at the point of prediction, so this is a neutral-site measure of strength. Every prediction on this site starts here.

#	Team	Conf	Rating	From 2025	2026 Rec	PF/g	PA/g
1	Seattle Seahawks	NFC West	1,683	-113	4-3	24.0	17.9
2	Buffalo Bills	AFC East	1,662	+0	5-1	32.8	28.5
3	Minnesota Vikings	NFC North	1,652	+64	6-0	20.8	12.3
4	San Francisco 49ers	NFC West	1,635	+40	6-1	28.1	19.9
5	Denver Broncos	AFC West	1,635	-49	5-2	20.6	20.1
6	Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC South	1,623	-6	4-2	25.7	17.3
7	New England Patriots	AFC East	1,606	-68	4-3	22.9	20.4
8	Chicago Bears	NFC North	1,588	+31	5-2	25.7	20.4
9	Los Angeles Rams	NFC West	1,574	-98	3-4	24.3	22.7
10	Cincinnati Bengals	AFC North	1,570	+109	4-2	27.2	20.3
11	Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC North	1,564	+50	5-2	21.9	19.7
12	Kansas City Chiefs	AFC West	1,561	+107	5-1	23.8	17.2
13	Detroit Lions	NFC North	1,556	-15	4-2	30.7	27.5
14	Green Bay Packers	NFC North	1,520	-4	4-3	20.6	20.7
15	Baltimore Ravens	AFC North	1,505	-53	4-3	24.1	23.9
16	Houston Texans	AFC South	1,504	-171	2-5	23.6	24.3
17	Atlanta Falcons	NFC South	1,493	+35	3-4	24.4	24.7
18	Cleveland Browns	AFC North	1,469	+91	5-2	19.0	20.9
19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC South	1,468	+21	2-5	23.1	21.6
20	New York Giants	NFC East	1,465	+80	4-2-1	23.3	23.0
21	Dallas Cowboys	NFC East	1,458	+40	3-4	27.0	25.7
22	Carolina Panthers	NFC South	1,441	+50	3-3	26.5	27.7
23	Philadelphia Eagles	NFC East	1,417	-154	2-5	18.1	25.0
24	New Orleans Saints	NFC South	1,406	-0	2-5	23.1	27.7
25	Indianapolis Colts	AFC South	1,398	-41	2-5	22.0	25.7
26	Las Vegas Raiders	AFC West	1,393	+145	3-4	26.1	28.1
27	Washington Commanders	NFC East	1,393	-34	1-4-1	22.0	28.7
28	Los Angeles Chargers	AFC West	1,383	-153	0-6	15.0	25.2
29	Miami Dolphins	AFC East	1,365	-57	1-5	16.3	26.2
30	Arizona Cardinals	NFC West	1,364	+51	2-5	20.3	29.7
31	New York Jets	AFC East	1,350	+81	2-5	19.6	21.4
32	Tennessee Titans	AFC South	1,297	+20	1-6	15.4	22.3

The From 2025 column is the between-season regression, not form: every club is pulled a third of the way toward 1500, so strong teams show a fall and weak ones a rise. It's there to make the adjustment visible rather than something you take on trust.

2026 Standings

Actual won–lost records by division. Sorted by wins, then points difference — not the NFL's full tiebreaker sequence, which involves head-to-head and common opponents.

AFC East

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
Bills	5-1	197	171	#2
Patriots	4-3	160	143	#7
Jets	2-5	137	150	#31
Dolphins	1-5	98	157	#29

AFC North

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
Steelers	5-2	153	138	#11
Browns	5-2	133	146	#18
Bengals	4-2	163	122	#10
Ravens	4-3	169	167	#15

AFC South

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
Jaguars	4-2	154	104	#6
Texans	2-5	165	170	#16
Colts	2-5	154	180	#25
Titans	1-6	108	156	#32

AFC West

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
Chiefs	5-1	143	103	#12
Broncos	5-2	144	141	#5
Raiders	3-4	183	197	#26
Chargers	0-6	90	151	#28

NFC East

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
Giants	4-2-1	163	161	#20
Cowboys	3-4	189	180	#21
Eagles	2-5	127	175	#23
Commanders	1-4-1	132	172	#27

NFC North

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
Vikings	6-0	125	74	#3
Bears	5-2	180	143	#8
Lions	4-2	184	165	#13
Packers	4-3	144	145	#14

NFC South

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
Falcons	3-4	171	173	#17
Panthers	3-3	159	166	#22
Buccaneers	2-5	162	151	#19
Saints	2-5	162	194	#24

NFC West

Team	W-L	PF	PA	Rtg
49ers	6-1	197	139	#4
Seahawks	4-3	168	125	#1
Rams	3-4	170	159	#9
Cardinals	2-5	142	208	#30

How The Rating Works

It's an Elo system, the same family used for chess ratings, adapted for American football. Every club starts at 1500. After each game the winner takes points from the loser; how many depends on the margin and on how the result compared to expectation. Beating a much stronger side by a wide margin moves the number a long way; a narrow win over a weak side barely moves it at all.

Twenty-five rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin on the field. So a club rated 1600 against one rated 1500 projects to win by about four on neutral ground. Home advantage adds a further 1.4 points — a figure we measured against 27 seasons of results rather than assuming, and notably smaller than the three points the sport traditionally quotes.

Between seasons every club is pulled a third of the way back toward 1500, because team strength carries over only partially year to year. That's why the table above looks compressed compared with where clubs finished.