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Bengals at Falcons

Sun, 8 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Cincinnati Bengals logo
Cincinnati
Bengals
4-2 · W4
@
Atlanta Falcons logo
Atlanta
Falcons
3-4 · W3
Cincinnati Bengals to win 59% win probability · projected 26–23 · Lean

Win Probabilities

From the engine's power ratings, adjusted for home field and rest, then mapped through the margin distribution. Not a blend of the market — this is our own number.

CIN 59%
ATL 41%
Projected score
26–23
CIN at ATL
Projected margin
-3.1
home perspective
Projected total
49.3
combined points
Confidence
Lean
published before kickoff

Matchup Facts

Venue and rest come from the schedule feed and feed directly into the model; surface and weather are context we show but don't yet model.

Venue
Bernabeu
Surface
Fieldturf
Rest · CIN
7 days
Rest · ATL
7 days

Recent Form

Last five completed games this season, most recent first.

Cincinnati Bengals

W @ BAL 35–13
W @ MIA 31–24
L vs JAX 17–22
L @ PIT 27–30
W @ HOU 20–6

Atlanta Falcons

W vs SF 29–20
L vs CHI 23–31
L vs BAL 23–30
W @ NO 45–24
W @ GB 35–14

Season Scoring

Points per game either side of the ball, 2026 season to date.

CIN · scored
27.2
per game · 6 played
CIN · allowed
20.3
per game
ATL · scored
24.4
per game · 7 played
ATL · allowed
24.7
per game

How The Model Sees It

Our rating has Cincinnati Bengals as the stronger side by 78 rating points, which on its own is worth about 3.1 points on the scoreboard (CIN 1,570, ATL 1,493).

This is a neutral-site game, so no home-field adjustment is applied at all.

That lands on a projected margin of -3.1, and running that through the historical spread of actual results against projections gives Cincinnati Bengals at 59%.

No betting line has been posted for this game yet — books typically price about three weeks ahead. Until one appears, this page shows the engine's number with nothing to compare it against, which is exactly the situation the model is most useful in.

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