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Vikings at 49ers

Mon, 23 Nov 2026 · 01:20 UTC
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota
Vikings
6-0 · W6
@
San Francisco 49ers logo
San Francisco
49ers
6-1 · L1
Minnesota Vikings to win 52% win probability · projected 22–22 · Coin Flip

Win Probabilities

From the engine's power ratings, adjusted for home field and rest, then mapped through the margin distribution. Not a blend of the market — this is our own number.

MIN 52%
SF 48%
Projected score
22–22
MIN at SF
Projected margin
-0.7
home perspective
Projected total
43.9
combined points
Confidence
Coin Flip
published before kickoff

Matchup Facts

Venue and rest come from the schedule feed and feed directly into the model; surface and weather are context we show but don't yet model.

Venue
Estadio Banorte
Roof
Outdoors
Surface
Grass
Rest · MIN
7 days
Rest · SF
7 days

Recent Form

Last five completed games this season, most recent first.

Minnesota Vikings

W vs IND 16–10
W @ NO 23–13
W vs MIA 15–10
W @ TB 23–16
W @ CHI 9–3

San Francisco 49ers

L @ ATL 20–29
W vs WAS 23–17
W @ SEA 32–29
W vs DEN 24–14
W vs ARI 36–30

Season Scoring

Points per game either side of the ball, 2026 season to date.

MIN · scored
20.8
per game · 6 played
MIN · allowed
12.3
per game
SF · scored
28.1
per game · 7 played
SF · allowed
19.9
per game

How The Model Sees It

Our rating has Minnesota Vikings as the stronger side by 16 rating points, which on its own is worth about 0.6 points on the scoreboard (MIN 1,652, SF 1,635).

This is a neutral-site game, so no home-field adjustment is applied at all.

That lands on a projected margin of -0.7, and running that through the historical spread of actual results against projections gives Minnesota Vikings at 52%.

No betting line has been posted for this game yet — books typically price about three weeks ahead. Until one appears, this page shows the engine's number with nothing to compare it against, which is exactly the situation the model is most useful in.

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