They are scoring 1.38 goals a game, which ranks 7th of 18 in the Primeira Liga against a divisional average of 1.40.
At the other end they concede 0.88 a game — 4th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.39.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 2.25 points per game at home against 1.25 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 14 points from 8 matches, 5th in the table and a 68th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Arouca grade out strong for home form and average for away form. That shape — a side whose home form carries them and whose away form is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 FC Porto |
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
 Benfica |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 3 |
 Sporting CP |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 4 |
 Santa Clara |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 18 | WDWWD |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 6 |
 GIL Vicente |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 14 | WWDLL |
| 7 |
 Academico Viseu |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 8 |
 Alverca |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 9 |
 SC Braga |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | LLDWL |
| 10 |
 Estrela |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 11 |
 Vitória SC |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 12 |
 Moreirense |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | LDWLL |
| 13 |
 Maritimo |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 14 |
 Famalicao |
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | LWDDD |
| 15 |
 Rio Ave |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 16 |
Nacional |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17 |
 Casa Pia |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 18 |
 Estoril |
8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Arouca yet: 18 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Arouca are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Primeira Liga fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 5th in the Primeira Liga on 14 points from 8 matches, with 11 scored and 7 conceded for a goal difference of +4.
The engine grades them B overall — a 68th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 18 graded predictions on Arouca so far, 7 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Primeira Liga, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.