They are scoring 1.56 goals a game, which ranks 4th of 18 in the Primeira Liga against a divisional average of 1.37.
At the other end they concede 1.89 a game — 14th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.37.
Home and away form is close to identical (1.00 points per game at home, 1.25 on the road), which is unusual and makes them harder to fade in either fixture.
Overall that is 10 points from 9 matches, 12th in the table and a 45th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Estrela grade out strong for attack and weak for defence. That shape — a side whose attack carries them and whose defence is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: high-scoring games with live over markets.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 FC Porto |
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
 Benfica |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 |
 Sporting CP |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 4 |
 Santa Clara |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 |
 Arouca |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 |
 Academico Viseu |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 |
 GIL Vicente |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 |
 Alverca |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 |
 SC Braga |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 10 |
Moreirense |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 | WLDWL |
| 11 |
 Famalicao |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 |
Estrela
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 13 |
 Vitória SC |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 |
 Maritimo |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 |
 Nacional |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 |
 Casa Pia |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 |
 Rio Ave |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 18 |
 Estoril |
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Estrela yet: 16 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Estrela are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Primeira Liga fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 12th in the Primeira Liga on 10 points from 9 matches, with 14 scored and 17 conceded for a goal difference of -3.
The engine grades them C+ overall — a 45th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 16 graded predictions on Estrela so far, 6 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Primeira Liga, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.