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Los Angeles Rams logo
Los Angeles

Rams

NFC West
Rating
1,574
League rank
#9
2026 record
3-4
Points /g
24.3
Allowed /g
22.7
Backtested
64.4%
Proj wins
8.7

Next Game

Home to
Chargers
Week 8 · Sun 1 Nov
Kick-off in
—
counts down in your local time
Our call
74%
Strong · we favour Rams
Full analysis

2026 Engine Projection

Built from our own call on every game of the season — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced.

Projected wins
8.7
of 17 games · 7 already played
Power rating
1,574
9th of 32 · league average 1500
Schedule strength
1,513
8th toughest of 32 · mean opponent rating
2026 record
3–4
24.3 scored, 22.7 allowed per game
What the projection is. Adding up a win probability for every game gives an expected total, not a forecast of an exact record. A club projected at 8.7 wins lands anywhere from roughly 5 to 12 in a real season — seventeen games is a small sample and luck moves it several wins either way.

Engine Verdict

Every axis is a percentile against the other 31 clubs, computed at page load.

B
Overall
Rams · 59th percentile
Rating
Strong
Offence
Average
Defence
Average
Record
Below par
Schedule ease
Weak
Biggest strength
Rating — rated strong against the other 31.
Watch
Record — their lowest-graded department. The hard part is the fixture list: this is one of the league's toughest schedules, which is why the projection is lower than the ratings alone would suggest.
RATING73OFFENCE67DEFENCE52RECORD41SCHEDULE23

Los Angeles Rams rate 1,574 on the engine's scale, 9th of 32. The league average is 1500 and 25 points equal about one point of expected margin, so the gap to an average club is worth roughly 3.0 points on neutral ground.

In 2026 they scored 24.3 a game (11th in the league) and allowed 22.7 (16th), finishing 3-4.

Their 17 opponents average 1,513, the 8th toughest schedule in the league. Strength of schedule is a fact about the fixture list rather than a forecast, so unlike most preseason numbers it is knowable today.

Adding up our win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 8.7 wins. That is an average across many simulated seasons, not a forecast of an exact record — a club projected at 8.7 finishes anywhere from about 5 to 12 in a real one.

Axes come from the power rating, points scored and allowed per game, last season's record and the mean rating of everyone on the schedule. Play-by-play measures — pressure rate, EPA, red-zone efficiency, line play — are not shown because this site does not store them, and a grade with nothing behind it would devalue the four that are real.

NFC West Race

Where this club sits against the three teams it plays twice a year.

ClubRatingLg rank 2026Proj
Seattle Seahawks logoSeahawks 1,683 #1 4–3 —
San Francisco 49ers logo49ers 1,635 #4 6–1 —
Los Angeles Rams logoRams 1,574 #9 3–4 8.7
Arizona Cardinals logoCardinals 1,364 #30 2–5 —

2026 Schedule & Predictions

Every game on the schedule with our call — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced yet. Predictions refresh weekly as ratings move, so a Week 15 call made today will look different by December. Bye weeks are shown where they fall.

WkOpponentOur pick ProbProjResult
1 vs San Francisco 49ers logo 49ers Win 56% +2.0 7–27 ✗
2 vs New York Giants logo Giants Win 69% +6.5 28–6 ✓
3 @ Denver Broncos logo Broncos Loss 45% -1.7 26–30 ✓
4 @ Philadelphia Eagles logo Eagles Win 52% +0.5 24–20 ✓
5 vs Buffalo Bills logo Bills Loss 49% -0.4 34–37 ✓
6 vs Arizona Cardinals logo Cardinals Win 78% +10.2 16–18 ✗
7 @ Las Vegas Raiders logo Raiders Win 62% +3.9 35–21 ✓
8 vs Los Angeles Chargers logo Chargers Win 74% +8.3 —
9 @ Washington Commanders logo Commanders Win 67% +5.8 —
10 @ Arizona Cardinals logo Cardinals Win 70% +7.0 —
11Bye week
12 vs Green Bay Packers logo Packers Win 61% +3.5 —
13 vs Kansas City Chiefs logo Chiefs Win 56% +2.0 —
14 @ San Francisco 49ers logo 49ers Loss 39% -3.6 —
15 vs Dallas Cowboys logo Cowboys Win 66% +5.5 —
16 @ Seattle Seahawks logo Seahawks Loss 33% -5.9 —
17 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo Buccaneers Win 59% +3.0 —
18 vs Seattle Seahawks logo Seahawks Loss 41% -3.0 —

Where We Differ From the Market

The closing line is the sharpest public number in sport. Ours is unblended and stands on its own, so the honest thing is to show where the two disagree and what happened last time they did.

Games with a line
8
of 17 on the schedule
We disagree on
2
25% of priced games pick a different side
Our disagreements lose more than they win. Across 1,139 backtested games, when the engine picked a different side to the closing line it was right 41% of the time — worse than a coin toss. We publish the disagreements anyway, and we publish that record, because presenting them as edge would be selling you the opposite of what the data says. Where we agree with the line, expect the market's accuracy rather than ours.

About This Rating

Los Angeles Rams currently rate 1,574, 9th of 32. The league average is 1500, and 25 rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin — so the gap between this club and an average one is worth about 3.0 points on neutral ground.

See the full power rankings →