NFL 2026 · 8th Day Engine
Week 1 Predictions
9 Sep – 14 Sep 2026 · 16 games · 16 predicted
Where We Break From The Line
Week 1: we disagree on 4 games
Across 1,139 backtested games our disagreements with the closing line were right 41% of the time. We publish them regardless — and we publish how they land.
Every Week 1 Game
Published before kickoff · graded after
NE
10
@
SEA
13
NE 36%
SEA 64%
Seattle Seahawks to win
64%
Total 45.4 Solid
Line
SEA −3.0
SF
@
LAR
SF 44%
LAR 56%
Los Angeles Rams to win
56%
Total 48.9 Lean
Line
LAR −3.5
ATL
@
PIT
ATL 41%
PIT 59%
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
59%
Total 44.9 Lean
Line
PIT −3.5
BAL
@
IND
BAL 55%
IND 45%
Baltimore Ravens to win
55%
Total 48.7 Lean
Line
BAL −3.5
BUF
@
HOU
BUF 45%
HOU 55%
Houston Texans to win
55%
Total 45.8 Lean
Line
BUF −1.5
We differ
CHI
@
CAR
CHI 59%
CAR 41%
Chicago Bears to win
59%
Total 45.7 Lean
Line
CHI −3.0
CLE
@
JAX
CLE 27%
JAX 73%
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
73%
Total 44.4 Strong
Line
JAX −8.5
NO
@
DET
NO 33%
DET 67%
Detroit Lions to win
67%
Total 46.4 Solid
Line
DET −7.0
NYJ
@
TEN
NYJ 45%
TEN 55%
Tennessee Titans to win
55%
Total 46.0 Lean
Line
TEN −1.5
TB
@
CIN
TB 45%
CIN 55%
Cincinnati Bengals to win
55%
Total 48.7 Lean
Line
CIN −3.5
ARI
@
LAC
ARI 29%
LAC 71%
Los Angeles Chargers to win
71%
Total 45.2 Strong
Line
LAC −10.0
GB
@
MIN
GB 41%
MIN 59%
Minnesota Vikings to win
59%
Total 43.6 Lean
Line
MIN −1.5
MIA
@
LV
MIA 60%
LV 40%
Miami Dolphins to win
60%
Total 43.6 Lean
Line
LV −3.5
We differ
WAS
@
PHI
WAS 34%
PHI 66%
Philadelphia Eagles to win
66%
Total 44.9 Solid
Line
PHI −5.5
DAL
@
NYG
DAL 48%
NYG 52%
New York Giants to win
52%
Total 50.8 Coin Flip
Line
DAL −3.0
We differ
DEN
@
KC
DEN 64%
KC 36%
Denver Broncos to win
64%
Total 42.6 Solid
Line
KC −3.0
We differ