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Tennessee Titans logo
Tennessee

Titans

AFC South
Rating
1,297
League rank
#32
2026 record
1-6
Points /g
15.4
Allowed /g
22.3
Backtested
64.4%
Proj wins
3.6

Next Game

Away at
Bengals
Week 8 · Sun 1 Nov
Kick-off in
—
counts down in your local time
Our call
17%
Strong · we favour Bengals
Full analysis

2026 Engine Projection

Built from our own call on every game of the season — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced.

Projected wins
3.6
of 17 games · 7 already played
Power rating
1,297
32nd of 32 · league average 1500
Schedule strength
1,482
26th toughest of 32 · mean opponent rating
2026 record
1–6
15.4 scored, 22.3 allowed per game
What the projection is. Adding up a win probability for every game gives an expected total, not a forecast of an exact record. A club projected at 3.6 wins lands anywhere from roughly 0 to 7 in a real season — seventeen games is a small sample and luck moves it several wins either way.

Engine Verdict

Every axis is a percentile against the other 31 clubs, computed at page load.

D
Overall
Titans · 19th percentile
Rating
Weak
Offence
Weak
Defence
Average
Record
Weak
Schedule ease
Strong
Biggest strength
Defence — rated average against the other 31.
Watch
Rating — their lowest-graded department.
RATING2OFFENCE5DEFENCE55RECORD5SCHEDULE80

Tennessee Titans rate 1,297 on the engine's scale, 32nd of 32. The league average is 1500 and 25 points equal about one point of expected margin, so the gap to an average club is worth roughly 8.1 points on neutral ground.

In 2026 they scored 15.4 a game (31st in the league) and allowed 22.3 (15th), finishing 1-6.

Their 17 opponents average 1,482, the 26th toughest schedule in the league. Strength of schedule is a fact about the fixture list rather than a forecast, so unlike most preseason numbers it is knowable today.

Adding up our win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 3.6 wins. That is an average across many simulated seasons, not a forecast of an exact record — a club projected at 3.6 finishes anywhere from about 0 to 7 in a real one.

Axes come from the power rating, points scored and allowed per game, last season's record and the mean rating of everyone on the schedule. Play-by-play measures — pressure rate, EPA, red-zone efficiency, line play — are not shown because this site does not store them, and a grade with nothing behind it would devalue the four that are real.

AFC South Race

Where this club sits against the three teams it plays twice a year.

ClubRatingLg rank 2026Proj
Jacksonville Jaguars logoJaguars 1,623 #6 4–2 —
Houston Texans logoTexans 1,504 #16 2–5 —
Indianapolis Colts logoColts 1,398 #25 2–5 —
Tennessee Titans logoTitans 1,297 #32 1–6 3.6

2026 Schedule & Predictions

Every game on the schedule with our call — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced yet. Predictions refresh weekly as ratings move, so a Week 15 call made today will look different by December. Bye weeks are shown where they fall.

WkOpponentOur pick ProbProjResult
1 vs New York Jets logo Jets Win 55% +1.6 10–23 ✗
2 vs Philadelphia Eagles logo Eagles Loss 26% -8.3 20–24 ✓
3 @ New York Giants logo Giants Loss 31% -6.3 7–12 ✓
4 @ Baltimore Ravens logo Ravens Loss 19% -11.4 18–24 ✓
5 vs Houston Texans logo Texans Loss 30% -7.0 3–26 ✓
6 @ Indianapolis Colts logo Colts Loss 25% -8.6 26–20 ✗
7 vs Cleveland Browns logo Browns Loss 36% -4.6 24–27 ✓
8 @ Cincinnati Bengals logo Bengals Loss 17% -12.3 —
9Bye week
10 vs Jacksonville Jaguars logo Jaguars Loss 19% -11.3 —
11 @ Dallas Cowboys logo Cowboys Loss 27% -7.8 —
12 @ Jacksonville Jaguars logo Jaguars Loss 13% -14.5 —
13 vs Washington Commanders logo Commanders Loss 43% -2.5 —
14 @ Detroit Lions logo Lions Loss 18% -11.8 —
15 vs Indianapolis Colts logo Colts Loss 42% -2.7 —
16 @ Las Vegas Raiders logo Raiders Loss 34% -5.3 —
17 vs Pittsburgh Steelers logo Steelers Loss 24% -9.3 —
18 @ Houston Texans logo Texans Loss 23% -9.6 —

Where We Differ From the Market

The closing line is the sharpest public number in sport. Ours is unblended and stands on its own, so the honest thing is to show where the two disagree and what happened last time they did.

Games with a line
8
of 17 on the schedule
We disagree on
0
0% of priced games pick a different side
Our disagreements lose more than they win. Across 1,139 backtested games, when the engine picked a different side to the closing line it was right 41% of the time — worse than a coin toss. We publish the disagreements anyway, and we publish that record, because presenting them as edge would be selling you the opposite of what the data says. Where we agree with the line, expect the market's accuracy rather than ours.

About This Rating

Tennessee Titans currently rate 1,297, 32th of 32. The league average is 1500, and 25 rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin — so the gap between this club and an average one is worth about 8.1 points on neutral ground.

See the full power rankings →