They are scoring 3.29 goals a game, which ranks 1st of 20 in the Premier League against a divisional average of 1.45.
At the other end they concede 0.71 a game — the meanest defence in the division, where the average side ships 1.44.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 2.50 points per game at home against 2.00 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 16 points from 7 matches, 3rd in the table and a 92nd percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Brighton grade out elite for attack and strong for consistency. That shape — a side whose attack carries them and whose consistency is the department with the least margin over the rest of the division — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
 Arsenal |
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 |
 Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 |
 Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 |
 Brentford |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 7 |
 Leeds |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 8 |
 Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 9 |
 Ipswich |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 10 |
 Hull City |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 11 |
 Newcastle |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD |
| 12 |
 Aston Villa |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | WDWLD |
| 13 |
 Manchester United |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD |
| 14 |
 Crystal Palace |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 15 |
 Bournemouth |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 |
 Tottenham |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD |
| 17 |
 Nottingham Forest |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 18 |
 Coventry |
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 19 |
 Fulham |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 20 |
 Sunderland |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Brighton yet: 21 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Brighton are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Premier League fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 3rd in the Premier League on 16 points from 7 matches, with 23 scored and 5 conceded for a goal difference of +18.
The engine grades them A+ overall — a 92nd percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 21 graded predictions on Brighton so far, 9 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Brighton appear in Premier League and UEFA Conference League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Premier League, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.
