They are scoring 1.43 goals a game, which ranks 7th of 20 in the Premier League against a divisional average of 1.45.
At the other end they concede 2.00 a game — 16th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.44.
Home and away form is close to identical (1.25 points per game at home, 1.00 on the road), which is unusual and makes them harder to fade in either fixture.
Overall that is 8 points from 7 matches, 11th in the table and a 38th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Newcastle grade out average for attack and weak for defence. That shape — a side whose attack carries them and whose defence is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: high-scoring games with live over markets.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Manchester City |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
 Arsenal |
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |
 Brighton |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 |
 Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 |
 Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 |
 Brentford |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 7 |
 Leeds |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 8 |
Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 9 |
 Ipswich |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 10 |
 Hull City |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD |
| 12 |
 Aston Villa |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | WDWLD |
| 13 |
 Manchester United |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD |
| 14 |
 Crystal Palace |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 15 |
 Bournemouth |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 |
 Tottenham |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD |
| 17 |
 Nottingham Forest |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 18 |
 Coventry |
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 19 |
 Fulham |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 20 |
 Sunderland |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Newcastle yet: 17 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Newcastle are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Premier League fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 11th in the Premier League on 8 points from 7 matches, with 10 scored and 14 conceded for a goal difference of -4.
The engine grades them C overall — a 38th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 17 graded predictions on Newcastle so far, 7 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Newcastle appear in Premier League and UEFA Champions League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Premier League, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.