NFL 2026 · 8th Day Engine
Week 5 Predictions
8 Oct – 12 Oct 2026 · 15 games · 15 predicted
10/14 correct this week · every miss counted
Where We Break From The Line
Week 5: we disagree on 3 games
Across 1,139 backtested games our disagreements with the closing line were right 41% of the time. We publish them regardless — and we publish how they land.
Every Week 5 Game
Published before kickoff · graded after
TB
24
@
DAL
16
TB 36%
DAL 64%
Dallas Cowboys to win
64%
Total 49.5 Solid
Line
DAL −9.5
✗ Missed
PHI
17
@
JAX
19
PHI 30%
JAX 70%
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
70%
Total 44.1 Strong
Line
JAX −7.0
✓ Correct
CHI
7
@
GB
31
CHI 61%
GB 39%
Chicago Bears to win
61%
Total 46.2 Solid
Line
CHI −3.0
✗ Missed
CIN
31
@
MIA
24
CIN 63%
MIA 37%
Cincinnati Bengals to win
63%
Total 47.2 Solid
Line
CIN −7.0
✓ Correct
CLE
12
@
NYJ
17
CLE 61%
NYJ 39%
Cleveland Browns to win
61%
Total 43.3 Solid
Line
NYJ −2.5
We differ
✗ Missed
HOU
26
@
TEN
3
HOU 70%
TEN 30%
Houston Texans to win
70%
Total 44.4 Strong
Line
HOU −7.0
✓ Correct
IND
22
@
PIT
34
IND 41%
PIT 59%
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
59%
Total 47.4 Lean
Line
PIT −2.5
✓ Correct
LV
17
@
NE
45
LV 27%
NE 73%
New England Patriots to win
73%
Total 42.9 Strong
Line
NE −3.5
✓ Correct
MIN
23
@
NO
13
MIN 73%
NO 27%
Minnesota Vikings to win
73%
Total 42.1 Strong
Line
MIN −1.5
✓ Correct
NYG
27
@
WAS
27
NYG 54%
WAS 46%
New York Giants to win
54%
Total 47.2 Lean
Line
WAS −3.0
We differ
DEN
23
@
LAC
17
DEN 67%
LAC 33%
Denver Broncos to win
67%
Total 43.5 Solid
Line
DEN −3.5
✓ Correct
DET
45
@
ARI
21
DET 62%
ARI 38%
Detroit Lions to win
62%
Total 50.8 Solid
Line
DET −4.5
✓ Correct
SF
32
@
SEA
29
SF 40%
SEA 60%
Seattle Seahawks to win
60%
Total 46.7 Lean
Line
SEA −3.0
✗ Missed
BAL
30
@
ATL
23
BAL 53%
ATL 47%
Baltimore Ravens to win
53%
Total 45.7 Coin Flip
Line
BAL −2.5
✓ Correct
BUF
37
@
LAR
34
BUF 51%
LAR 49%
Buffalo Bills to win
51%
Total 50.5 Coin Flip
Line
LAR −2.5
We differ
✓ Correct