They are scoring 1.33 goals a game, which ranks 12th of 20 in the La Liga against a divisional average of 1.50.
At the other end they concede 1.00 a game — 3rd best in the division, where the average side ships 1.51.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 1.60 points per game at home against 1.00 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 12 points from 9 matches, 8th in the table and a 59th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Athletic Club grade out elite for defence and below par for home form. That shape — a side whose defence carries them and whose home form is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: low-scoring games where the draw stays in play longer than the table suggests.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Barcelona |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 |
 Atletico Madrid |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |
 Real Madrid |
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 |
 Real Betis |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 |
 Sevilla |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 |
 Alaves |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |
Athletic Club
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | WLDD |
| 9 |
 Celta Vigo |
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 |
 Villarreal |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 |
 Deportivo La Coruna |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 |
 Osasuna |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 |
 Racing Santander |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 |
 Levante |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 |
 Elche |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 |
 Rayo Vallecano |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | LDDW |
| 17 |
 Getafe |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 |
 Espanyol |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |
 Valencia |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 |
 Malaga |
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Athletic Club yet: 18 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Athletic Club are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every La Liga fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 8th in the La Liga on 12 points from 9 matches, with 12 scored and 9 conceded for a goal difference of +3.
The engine grades them B overall — a 59th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 18 graded predictions on Athletic Club so far, 6 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the La Liga, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.