They are scoring 2.00 goals a game, which ranks 3rd of 20 in the La Liga against a divisional average of 1.50.
At the other end they concede 0.80 a game — 2nd best in the division, where the average side ships 1.51.
Home and away form is close to identical (2.60 points per game at home, 2.40 on the road), which is unusual and makes them harder to fade in either fixture.
Overall that is 25 points from 10 matches, 2nd in the table and a 92nd percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Atletico Madrid have no weak department. Every axis the engine measures sits in the top fifth of the division, from attack at 88 to consistency at 95, and a profile that flat is rare — most sides carry a soft edge somewhere the model can price against. What it means in practice is a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Barcelona |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |
 Real Madrid |
10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 |
 Real Betis |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 |
 Real Sociedad |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 |
 Sevilla |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 |
 Alaves |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |
 Athletic Club |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | WLDD |
| 9 |
 Celta Vigo |
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 |
 Villarreal |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 |
 Deportivo La Coruna |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 |
 Osasuna |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 |
 Racing Santander |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 |
Levante |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 |
 Elche |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 |
 Rayo Vallecano |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | LDDW |
| 17 |
 Getafe |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 |
 Espanyol |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |
 Valencia |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 |
 Malaga |
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Atletico Madrid yet: 29 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Atletico Madrid are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every La Liga fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 2nd in the La Liga on 25 points from 10 matches, with 20 scored and 8 conceded for a goal difference of +12.
The engine grades them A+ overall — a 92nd percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 29 graded predictions on Atletico Madrid so far, 17 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Atletico Madrid appear in La Liga and UEFA Champions League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the La Liga, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.